Will Zomato give you Loss or Gain?

05 October, 2021 0 Comments


          
            Will Zomato give you Loss or Gain?

Zomato’s IPO created waves in the market when it launched some time back and I am still wondering what it was about the company that was making investors go gaga?

This company has accumulated losses of over ₹4,600 Crore from 2018 to 2021 June

With their losses continuing to mount, they were still able to find interested suitors, with no accumulated profits since starting. Hence it is evident that their net loss is funded by capital infusion and/or Debt. But why are these investors pumping funds into the startup even when they see no profit in 4 years?


What is the Health of the Business?

  • Employees are paid handsomely.
  • Customers are being given door delivery of their meals with handsome discounts in some cases.
  • On boarding of liaison and delivery executives has been on high gear.
  • Founder’s basic salary is ₹3.5 Crore
  • Co-Founder -Gross remuneration is ₹3.7 Crore
  • CTO 1.5 Crore
  • CFO 3.26 Crore
  • Employees are paid handsomely.
  • Customers are being given door delivery of their meals with handsome discounts in some cases.
  • On boarding of liaison and delivery executives has been on high gear.
  • Founder’s basic salary is ₹3.5 Crore
  • Co-Founder -Gross remuneration is ₹3.7 Crore
  • CTO 1.5 Crore
  • CFO 3.26 Crore

All signs of a very healthy business, and since the company is still in net loss, no income tax is payable as well.

So who is Bearing the Brunt of the Loss ?

Stepping back you realize that this is being rolled back to the external investors of Zomato - people controlling almost 50% of the stake. But these investors are the top financial minds in the world and control the purse strings of many venture capitalists or fund managers! What will they gain if the company is running at a loss?


Zomato is extremely asset light. All they have is variable expenses to the delivery partners, a credibly, highly aware platform and an acquisition team.

MIMI PARTHA SARATHY
Managing Director,
Sinhasi Consultants Pvt. Ltd.


Lets get the valuation done for an IPO

Now, Zomato went for independent valuation by a valuer, who valued them at ₹60,000 Crore! This has raised a lot of questions especially by Rakesh Jhunjhunwala.

After this valuation they went for an IPO, making their shares easily accessible for all public to purchase and further sell. PR and Marketing created a hype in an already euphoric stock market.

The IPO got over subscribed by a whopping 38% with Listing priced at ₹116 which was initially valued at ₹72-76

Interestingly, although the Zomato IPO was for ₹9400 Crore, almost 400 Cr will be taken by early investor – Info edge who has been invested in this for over a decade. Rest of the ₹9000 Cr will be invested in the company’s growth.


Is there merit in re-looking the strategy of Zomato?

Zomato is one of India's two leading food delivery companies with the gross Merchandise value of $1.2+ billion

Their gross merchandise value should grow at -35% + for the next five years driven by three factors

  • Increase in the average order value as restaurants consolidate
  • New customer acquisition as they will be able to offer better offers than competitors along with geography expansion
  • Increased frequency of customer orders for month as more and more people work from home

Zomato is one of India's two leading food delivery companies with the gross Merchandise value of $1.2+ billion

Their gross merchandise value should grow at -35% + for the next five years driven by three factors

  • Increase in the average order value as restaurants consolidate
  • New customer acquisition as they will be able to offer better offers than competitors along with geography expansion
  • Increased frequency of customer orders for month as more and more people work from home
Zomato has got over 3.2Cr customer details with their order history and payment instruments linked on their platform. Data is going to rule in the future and there is a high chance of it being monetized (although data privacy laws will have to be considered). This can help them grow new allied businesses like grocery delivery, cold chain products or expand into private labels to provide growth opportunities through lower discounting, lower ad spends for customer acquisition while bringing in higher gross margin and newer revenue streams.

The Naysayers are asking 'who is going to bear the current loss going forward?'

'Retail investors holding shares of Zomato are going to bear the brunt of the loss! The loss has been sold by early investors to public making a cool 100x return on investment (ROI).' - supposed retail investor

Which retail investor is looking at the fundamentals of an investment? A loss-making company is beating profit yielding organizations on the basis of anticipated future sales. But not a lot of people understand the strategic vision of the enterprise. Many enter an IPO only to make listing gains. That is trader mentality, not investor thinking.

Most stocks traded in stock markets are influenced by promoted factors rather than fundamentals and / or earnings growth potential.


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Reach out to us

If you want help in understanding how to navigate equity purchases and balance your portfolio as and when the market corrects

              


Bibliography

Zomato IPO listing, MONEYCONTROL | How Zomato executed its IPO plan, THE ECONOMIC TIMES | Zomato IPO: Hype or just right? FORTUNE INDIA | Zomato valuation absurd, FORTUNE INDIA

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